Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 10.425339 11.546490 12.750576 14.142033 15.708354 17.419993 19.436104
2025-09-21 8.456341 9.961092 11.693730 13.845120 16.456925 19.540118 23.477755
2025-09-28 7.169059 8.881964 10.971001 13.726077 17.293234 21.795562 27.971323
2025-10-05 6.467730 8.370564 10.810340 14.203802 18.858166 25.100651 34.247065
2025-10-12 5.901865 7.931468 10.649373 14.610656 20.329695 28.431905 41.041839
2025-10-19 5.345401 7.419996 10.304426 14.683604 21.298665 31.139932 47.316850
2025-10-26 4.835452 6.904745 9.878221 14.558930 21.921676 33.370474 53.155578
2025-11-02 4.391165 6.430498 9.448690 14.357545 22.369202 35.343827 58.833896
2025-11-09 4.001527 5.994630 9.024211 14.100498 22.670869 37.083108 64.338589
2025-11-16 3.681665 5.632792 8.673080 13.911250 23.041921 38.956121 70.338626
2025-11-23 3.423560 5.342840 8.404490 13.821207 23.556508 41.121570 77.203005
2025-11-30 3.272720 5.210852 8.376993 14.132209 24.806282 44.767292 87.559114
2025-12-07 3.049516 4.945642 8.111761 14.013070 25.283932 47.082693 95.747841
2025-12-14 2.820396 4.652020 7.772780 13.726264 25.412058 48.739404 102.857511
2025-12-21 2.642144 4.431210 7.540868 13.611747 25.858376 51.096228 111.978641
2025-12-28 2.567141 4.385206 7.615734 14.086640 27.546000 56.297124 128.809335
2026-01-04 2.487091 4.322792 7.653543 14.490524 29.135227 61.523850 146.838541
2026-01-11 2.370294 4.183227 7.533967 14.563201 30.020291 65.291476 161.944130
2026-01-18 2.239614 4.007538 7.330199 14.439882 30.454165 68.064971 174.985536
2026-01-25 2.111258 3.826760 7.101649 14.240456 30.688917 70.390060 187.290943
2026-02-01 1.987448 3.645960 6.858771 13.985828 30.763233 72.326094 198.907868
2026-02-08 1.880541 3.490847 6.655571 13.798345 30.974660 74.646099 212.243176
2026-02-15 1.791588 3.365263 6.503003 13.709140 31.415020 77.638674 228.436054